Monday, December 10, 2007

Golden Globe Predictions

Golden Globe nominations get announced tomorrow Thursday. Couldn't let that happen without getting my predictions down for the record.

BEST PICTURE: DRAMA
Atonement
Into The Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood


alt.: American Gangster; The Kite Runner

**(This is the last stand for American Gangster, I think. It misses here, it's done.)

BEST PICTURE: MUSICAL/COMEDY
Charlie Wilson's War
Enchanted
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Sweeney Todd


alt.: The Savages; Hairspray

**(I keep going back and forth on predicting across-the-board nominations for The Savages or a shutout. As you'll see, I hedged my bets. A nomination for Once would make my year.)

BEST DIRECTOR
Tim Burton - Sweeney Todd
Joel and Ethan Coen - No Country For Old Men
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Sean Penn - Into The Wild
Joe Wright - Atonement

alt.: Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood; Jason Reitman - Juno

**(Gilroy is a shot in the dark, but I think There Will Be Blood takes a bit of a hit here.)

BEST ACTOR: DRAMA
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Emile Hirsch - Into The Wild
Frank Langella - Starting Out In The Evening
James McAvoy - Atonement

alt.: Denzel Washington - American Gangster; Tommy Lee Jones - In The Valley of Elah; Josh Brolin - No Country For Old Men

**(EDITED because I had forgotten all about Langella. Sorry, Denzel.)

BEST ACTRESS: DRAMA
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Jodie Foster - The Brave One
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Ashley Judd - Bug
Kiera Knightley - Atonement

alt.: Cate Blanchett - Elizabeth: The Golden Age; Halle Berry - Things We Lost In The Fire

**(Judd's a weird pick, but she's been nominated out of the blue before (De-Lovely), and honestly, after Cate and Halle, there is nobody else.)

BEST ACTOR: COMEDY/MUSICAL
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd
Ryan Gosling - Lars and the Real Girl
Phillip Seymour Hoffman - The Savages
Jack Nicholson - The Bucket List
John Travolta - Hairspray

alt.: Tom Hanks - Charlie Wilson's War

**(Comedy/Musical is usually a mix of Oscar prospect runoff and populist pap. This seems about right.)

BEST ACTRESS: COMEDY/MUSICAL
Amy Adams - Enchanted
Helena Bonham Carter - Sweeney Todd
Marion Cotillard - La Vie En Rose
Laura Linney - The Savages
Ellen Page - Juno

alt.: Nikki Blonsky - Hairspray; Keri Russell - Waitress

**(The toughest category on the map, I think, aside from maybe Comedy/Musical Film. Any other year, I think Blonsky's a shoo-in, not to mention women I'm not even mentioning like Nicole Kidman and Katherine Heigl.)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James...
Javier Bardem - No Country For Old Men
Sacha Baron Cohen - Sweeney Todd
Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton

alt.: Hal Holbrook - Into The Wild; Paul Dano - There Will Be Blood

**(Cohen's an unconventional pick, but the Globes love their musicals, and SBC has gotten a lot of notice. This is actually another super competetive category, with Max Von Sydow, Philip Bosco, and Alan Rickman also helping to crowd the doorway.)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Kelly MacDonald - No Country For Old Men
Sairose Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton

alt.: Jennifer Jason Leigh - Margot At The Wedding; Ruby Dee - American Gangster

**(I think Helena Bonham Carter goes here for the Oscar campaign, but her absence here , I think, opens the door for Kelly MacDonald. Here's where we'll get the first indication as to where the Briony Hierarchy stands for Atonement, so you could swap Ronan out for Romola Garai or Vanessa Redgrave.)

BEST SCREENPLAY
Atonement
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men

The Savages

alt.: Before The Devil Knows You're Dead; Into The Wild

**(Once again, I'm probably overvaluing Michael Clayton, but whatever. A nomination for Away From Her, much like a Once nod, would absolutely make my year.)

2 comments:

NYOne said...

Well done on the actress categories.

Joe R. said...

Thanks! I'm really mad the wild cards like Judd and Sacha Baron Cohen didn't pan out. And also that I dumped Denzel for Langella at the last second -- oops. And that I called Travolta but in the wrong category. And that Eastern Promises got nominated at all. I'll probably put up a reaction post at some point. But thanks!