Wednesday, April 04, 2007

Oscar Predictions...Hey Wait, Where Are You Going?

Bear with me here. My good pal Nathaniel has posted his April Fool's Oscar Predictions, his more-accurate-than-most annual stab at what the eventual Oscar nominees will be nine months from now. Naturally, competitive bitch that I am, I want to post my own early, early, early Oscar predictions, both for comparison's and posterity's sake. Then I promise you won't hear from me on this issue until the fall. August at the soonest. Okay, maybe in May after Cannes. It's a sickness people. Thank God I don't put money on this shit.

First off, here are a handful of movies that I'm thinking will come into play during the '07 awards season:

Atonement -- Kiera Knightley, James McAvoy, and Romola Garai in an adaptation of the novel of the same name, directed by Pride & Prejudice's Joe Wright.

The Brave One -- Jodie Foster teams up with director Neil Jordan in a contemporary revenge drama.

Charlie Wilson's War -- Mike Nichols directs Tom Hanks, Julia Roberts, and Phillip Seymour Hoffman, in a story about how the CIA armed the Mujahedeen in Afghanistan in the 1980s. So it's a success story.

The Golden Age -- This would be the sequel to Elizabeth, with Cate Blanchett and Shekhar Kapur returning, and Clive Owen, Samantha Morton, and Abbie Cornish hopping onboard.

I'm Not There -- Todd Haynes's unconventional Bob Dylan biopic. Which I believe is the film's new subtitle. Christian Bale, Heath Ledger, Richard Gere, and Blanchett (among others) all play Dylan at various times.

The Kite Runner -- Guilt and betrayal set against the backdrop of recent Afghanistan history. Based on the best-selling 2003 novel.

Love in the Time of Cholera -- More literary adaptations, this time the renowned Gabriel Garcia Marquez novel. Javier Bardem, Benjamin Bratt, Liev Schrieber, and Catalina Sandino Moreno star.

Michael Clayton -- It's not about IRA terrorists, but it should be. No, this one's a legal drama starring George Clooney.

A Mighty Heart -- The story of American journalist Daniel Pearl, murdered by Al Qaeda terrorist, and his widow Marianne. Starring Angelina Jolie and Dan Futterman, directed by Michael Winterbottom.

Reservation Road -- The director of Hotel Rwanda tells a story of tragedy and the aftermath. Starring Joaquin Phoenix, Mark Ruffalo, Jennifer Connelly, and Mira Sorvino.

The Savages -- Tamara Jenkins directs Laura Linney and Phillip Seymour Hoffman in a family dramady. Partially filmed in Buffalo, this killed at Sundance.

Sweeney Todd -- Big musical adaptation of the year, directed by Tim Burton, starring Johnny Depp and Helena Bonham-Carter.

There Will Be Blood -- PT Anderson's first film in five years, adapted from Upton Sinclair's Oil! Speaking of a first film in five years, Daniel Day-Lewis stars as an oil prospector.

Okay, so, the Oscar predictions. We'll see if I get more than a handful of these right next year. For point of reference, when I did this least year, I nailed Forest Whitaker, Judi Dench, Kate Winslet, and Meryl Streep. And that was it.

  1. Charlie Wilson's War (Universal)
  2. Atonement (Focus)
  3. Michael Clayton (Warner Bros.)
  4. Love in the Time of Cholera (New Line)
  5. The Kite Runner (Paramount Vantage)
Also: Reservation Road (Focus); Sweeney Todd (Paramount); Rendition (New Line); There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage); Lions For Lambs (United Artists); The Golden Age (Universal); The Assassination of Jesse James (Warner Bros.); My Blueberry Nights (The Weinstein Co.); Lust, Caution (Focus); The Brave One (Warner Bros.).

  1. Joaquin Phoenix -- Reservation Road
  2. Daniel Day-Lewis -- There Will Be Blood
  3. John Cusack -- Grace Is Gone
  4. Javier Bardem -- Love in the Time of Cholera
  5. James McAvoy -- Atonement
Also: 6. Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd); 7. Benicio Del Toro (Things We Lost in the Fire); 8. Tom Hanks (Charlie Wilson's War); 9. Khalid Abdalla (The Kite Runner); 10. Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Savages); 11. George Clooney (Michael Clayton); 12. Brad Pitt (The Assassination of Jesse James); 13. Tommy Lee Jones (In the Valley of Elah); 14. Tony Leung (Lust, Caution); 15. Tom Cruise (Lions For Lambs).

  1. Julie Christie -- Away From Her
  2. Jodie Foster -- The Brave One
  3. Kiera Knightley -- Atonement
  4. Marion Cotillard -- La Vie En Rose
  5. Angelina Jolie -- A Mighty Heart
Also: 6. Cate Blanchett (The Golden Age); 7. Laura Linney (The Savages); 8. Jennifer Connelly (Reservation Road); 9. Halle Berry (Things We Lost In The Fire); 10. Vanessa Redgrave (Evening); 11. Reese Witherspoon (Rendition); 12. Giovanna Mezzogiorno (Love in the Time of Cholera); 13. Natalie Portman (The Other Boleyn Girl); 14. Sigourney Weaver (The Girl in the Park); 15. Catherine Keener (An American Crime).

  1. Clive Owen -- The Golden Age
  2. Mark Ruffalo -- Reservation Road
  3. Philip Bosco -- The Savages
  4. Dan Futterman -- A Mighty Heart
  5. Tom Wilkinson -- Michael Clayton
Also: 6. Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson's War); 7. Paul Dano (There Will Be Blood); 8. Robert Redford (Lions For Lambs); 9. Javier Bardem (No Country For Old Men); 10. Benjamin Bratt (Love in the Time of Cholera); 11. James McAvoy (Becoming Jane); 12. Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James); 13. Eric Bana (The Other Boleyn Girl); 14. Patrick Wilson (Evening); 15. Terrence Howard (The Brave One).

  1. Romola Garai -- Atonement
  2. Samantha Morton -- The Golden Age
  3. Jennifer Jason Leigh -- Margot At The Wedding
  4. Cate Blanchett -- I'm Not There
  5. Vanessa Redgrave -- Atonement
Also: 6. Helena Bonham-Carter (Sweeney Todd); 7. Jane Fonda (Georgia Rule); 8. Susan Sarandon (In the Valley of Elah); 9. Scarlett Johansson (The Other Boleyn Girl); 10. Kristin Scott Thomas (The Other Boleyn Girl); 11. Mary-Louise Parker (The Assassination of Jesse James); 12. Abbie Cornish (The Golden Age); 13. Mira Sorvino (Reservation Road); 14. Alison Lohman (Things We Lost in the Fire); 15. Laura Linney (The Nanny Diaries).

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